Our Commentaries
Commentary
Micro is What We Do, Macro is What We Put Up WithNovember 22, 2024
One of our favourite quotes by Charlie Munger is “Micro is what we do, macro is what we put up with”. It has never felt
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Everything may be OK – Investing in Quality for the Long-TermOctober 30, 2024
We were privileged to participate recently in the London Quality Growth Investment Conference, which attracts some of the most thoughtful and discerning minds in the
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Honey, Patience and ProfitsSeptember 19, 2024
Investing is a lot like Winnie the Pooh’s pursuit of honey: slow, steady, and guided by a simple but unshakeable focus on the prize. In
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Staying the Course through the Summer Doldrums – Opportunities for Long-term InvestorsAugust 19, 2024
We have seen a significant increase in global market volatility over the past few weeks, with all major global indices experiencing substantial declines followed by
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It has always paid to take a long-term viewJuly 17, 2024
Global conflicts, elections, inflation and interest rates – it is a troubling time for investors. Earlier this month, we were asked by Jeff Prestridge, personal
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Global Quality, Global OpportunitiesJune 19, 2024
We invest in global companies that have great quality and can generate long-term compound returns. We look for businesses with strong competitive positions in good
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Quality PrevailsMay 20, 2024
This month marked a historic Berkshire Hathaway annual meeting. It was a celebration of Charlie Munger’s legacy, Berkshire’s record of creating a company with US$897bn
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Engagement MattersApril 22, 2024
The strong performance of our World Stars Global Equity strategy has vindicated our view that the US and European economies would continue to be resilient
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Stock market broadeningMarch 21, 2024
Over the past several years, US stock market performance has been led by a number of great technology companies. We have always been selective, applying
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A Resilient Start to the YearFebruary 19, 2024
The new year has started well, with solid economic growth, moderating inflation and positive markets. The large majority of our companies have reported good numbers
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Opportunities aheadJanuary 16, 2024
Our World Stars Global Equity strategy performed strongly last year despite the geo-political and macro-economic issues, up 30.7% in US dollar terms. As we summarize
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A Year of Challenges and ResilienceDecember 18, 2023
As the year 2023 comes to a close, we look back at a year of great challenges but also of great resilience. Our hearts are
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Investment Commentary November 2023November 15, 2023
At a time of great political and economic uncertainty and conflict, our responsibility as investors and as fiduciaries of the capital we manage is to
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Investment Commentary October 2023October 17, 2023
We have been deeply affected by the attack on Israel last Saturday and the images of horror that have gone around the world. We have
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The Golden PathSeptember 18, 2023
This time last year we were in the midst of the storm caused by US Feds raising interest rates from close to nothing to normal
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J. Stern & Co. August updateAugust 16, 2023
This time last year we were in the midst of the storm caused by US Feds raising interest rates from close to nothing to normal
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Investment CommentaryJuly 17, 2023
“The basis of successful investing is the thoughtful analysis of the fundamentals “ Philip Fisher Our World Stars Global Equity strategy has done well this
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The Lollapalooza of long-term investingMay 26, 2023
The Berkshire Hathaway annual meeting hosted by Warren Buffett and Charlie Munger is often called the Woodstock of capitalism. We think of it more as
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Keeping our HeadsApril 21, 2023
“If you can keep your head when all about you Are losing theirs…”
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Quality does not matter until it doesMarch 24, 2023
If it was ever necessary, the last few weeks have provided an object lesson as to why quality does not matter until it does. Over
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ChatGPTFebruary 16, 2023
“Does volatility in market prices equal risk?” “Volatility in market prices can be an indicator of risk, but it is not necessarily equal to risk.
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Patience RewardedJanuary 24, 2023
The big money is not in the buying and the selling but in the waiting. Charlie Munger The latest Financial Times headlines say it all:
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Expecting the unexpectedDecember 28, 2022
2022 has provided numerous challenges, as global markets have faced rising inflation and interest rates, supply chain bottlenecks and Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. The result
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Is this a market turning point?November 21, 2022
2022 has provided numerous challenges, as global markets have faced rising inflation and interest rates, supply chain bottlenecks and Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. The result
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Cheer up!October 17, 2022
Jeff Prestridge, the long-time personal finance editor of the Mail on Sunday, has featured our analysis of the long-term returns offered by equities in this
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Thank you for EverythingSeptember 27, 2022
The death of Queen Elizabeth II marked the end of a long and prosperous era and the beginning of a new one. She was a
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Reasons for OptimismAugust 15, 2022
Over the past two months, the mood has lifted across markets. As we expected, our companies rebounded strongly in July with a broadening out of macro-economic concerns
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A win, win OpportunityJuly 27, 2022
Stock markets have rebounded somewhat from the lows they reached in June. We continue to be at a turning point. As the global economy recovers
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Goldilocks and the bear marketJune 23, 2022
Last week we had a chance to speak at the first London Quality Growth conference, a timely gathering of investors given the sell-off in markets
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Buffett is BuyingMay 23, 2022
In volatile times like these, it helps to take a long-term perspective. Warren Buffet (91) and Charlie Munger (98) have seen their share of global
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Volatile Times; Opportunities for Long-Term Equity Returns April 13, 2022
March has been something of a curate’s egg for investors with an increasing list of worries to focus on – whether it be Ukraine and
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Hope, Confidence and ConvictionMarch 29, 2022
“Buffet buying now in the face of all the uncertainty – the geopolitical and economy and interest rate uncertainty – is a real vote of
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Resilience in Times of AdversityFebruary 25, 2022
This week’s invasion of Ukraine by Russia has thrown major new complexities and uncertainties into the geo-political and macro-economic outlook. Markets had already been pricing
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Everything may be OKJanuary 24, 2022
“There is a basic investment principle which by and large seems only to be understood by a small minority of successful investors. This is that
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Same procedure as last year? Same procedure as every year!December 24, 2021
The classic sketch “Dinner for One” is a New Year’s tradition in Germany and much of Northern Europe. Miss Sophie’s 90th birthday party and her
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Strong FundamentalsNovember 26, 2021
As we wrote back in September, we are amidst an extraordinary transition period, as the global economy attempts to enter a post Covid-19 world. This
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Remember the Big PictureOctober 22, 2021
At J.P. Morgan’s recent third quarter results call, Jamie Dimon, Chairman and CEO, was asked about comments he had made about the supply chain problems
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Patience requiredSeptember 24, 2021
Transitions are difficult periods. By definition, they follow periods of clear direction, they can last a long time, and their outcomes are uncertain. Some of
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What’s PossibleJuly 19, 2021
“I think about all the young kids who will be watching this summer. No matter what happens, I just hope that their parents, teachers and
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Back to life, back to realityJune 18, 2021
“Back to life, back to reality, back to the here and now…” Soul II Soul, 1989 Every once in a while we think of song
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If only we knew…May 24, 2021
We like market routs because we can buy more for less. This week our friend Rob Armstrong, former editor of Lex, launched a new investment
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The Next TradeApril 23, 2021
One of our long-standing convictions is that volatility is an opportunity not a risk for long-term investors. Stock prices follow fundamentals and pull-backs like the
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Market Rotation and OpportunityMarch 22, 2021
One of our long-standing convictions is that volatility is an opportunity not a risk for long-term investors. Stock prices follow fundamentals and pull-backs like the
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Sustainability³ ®February 22, 2021
It has been a tumultuous year for the global economy and the markets, but also a year in which our approach of investing in quality
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Fundamental Optimism for the Year AheadJanuary 26, 2021
In our New Year’s greeting we wrote that farmer’s almanacs used to say that April is the cruellest month, and so it could be this
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Annus Horribilis, Annus MirabilisDecember 21, 2020
Looking back at 2020, we have been struck by how the pandemic has accelerated the change and disruption we have seen over the past decade.
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Lincoln, Churchill, Zuckerberg ― Democracy and Elections in a Digital AgeNovember 18, 2020
“Elections belong to the people. It’s their decision. If they decide to turn their back on the fire and burn their behinds, then they will
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Through Scylla and CharybdisOctober 15, 2020
Much have I suffered, laboured long and hard by now in the waves and wars. Add this to the total —bring the trial on! Odysseus
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The Journey is the DestinationSeptember 17, 2020
“There’s a lot of baggage that comes with us. But it’s like Louis Vuitton baggage. You always want it.” Kim Kardashian It certainly looks
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Expecting the UnexpectedAugust 17, 2020
August is a time for reading and reflection. This year has turned out very differently from what we had expected. So much of our everyday
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Results, Resilience, Science and InnovationJuly 17, 2020
Investing is all about the fundamentals. Markets and our portfolios have been resilient in the face of the economic dislocation we have seen due to
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Optimism, Resilience and OpportunityJune 30, 2020
“There is no such thing as a rich pessimist” — Max Warburg Every once in a while we come across a saying that strike us
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Quality stands the testMay 18, 2020
The Covid-19 is the first pandemic of our globalized age. It is also the first serious crisis we have faced with our investment approach since
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Response to the sell offApril 3, 2020
As long-term investors we are used to thinking about different outcomes, including extreme ones, and trying to ensure that our investments have the quality and
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Quality in times of uncertaintyFebruary 28, 2020
It is a time of great uncertainty and concern for investors in global markets because of the COVID-19 outbreak and the possibility that governments in
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The Clue is in the name: Quality, Sustainability and Long -Term ValueJanuary 31, 2020
When Maurice Stern had to leave Paris with his family to escape from the German occupation and came to New York, he had to decide
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What a year it has been!December 20, 2019
One of our themes this year has been the progress achieved across so many measures of human life, health and prosperity, and that offers a
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Pushing back the frontiers of the possibleNovember 22, 2019
In tackling a truly global challenge like climate change, we must maintain our belief in the power of engineering to make a better world. Because
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Everything may be okOctober 30, 2019
Earlier this year, a classic Matt cartoon from the Daily Telegraph had an English couple walk by a deranged-looking man holding up a sign saying
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Taking a step backSeptember 30, 2019
“Economies are not delivering for most citizens because of weak competition, feeble productivity growth and tax loopholes. The answer needs to start with acknowledgement of
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Summer Reading: Causes for OptimismAugust 23, 2019
What is progress? You might think that the question is so subjective and culturally relative as to be forever unanswerable. In fact it’s one of
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‘Que cuandro nos vaya mal, nos vaya como ahora’July 16, 2019
‘If we have bad times let them be like today’s’ – This Mexican saying reflects our thoughts as we look back on the first half
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Glimpses of the futureJune 28, 2019
“We tend to overestimate the effect of a technology in the short run and underestimate the effect in the long run.” This ‘law of technology’ keeps getting validated not because we do
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Don’t believe us, believe Warren BuffettMay 30, 2019
The Berkshire Hathaway annual meeting in Omaha, Nebraska, the Woodstock of Capitalism, is the one ‘industry convention’ we attend. Berkshire’s business comprise almost all of
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Shoot first, ask questions later…April 30, 2019
It is always dangerous to interpolate from personal experience to wider political, economic or social impacts, much less to investment views. Sometimes we must make
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O tempera! O mores!March 29, 2019
O tempera! O mores! As we write, two of the major political issues that have dominated politics, media, public discourse and our minds appear to be coming to their conclusions. In
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The J. Stern & Co. way: Generating value from disruption, adaption and changeFebruary 26, 2019
The US Securities and Exchange Commission Rule 156 requires mutual funds to tell investors not to base their expectations of future results on past performance
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When the going gets tough, the tough go shopping…January 7, 2019
Markets have declined over the past three months. As we know, volatility creates opportunities for long-term investors. Economic turning points like the one we are
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Miracle in Carlton GardensDecember 11, 2018
“In these dark days, we tend to look for little shafts of light that spill from heaven” is the beginning of one of the great
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Your Margin is My OpportunityNovember 7, 2018
We have been saying for some time now that we expected markets to become more turbulent and volatile as we are in the midst of
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Turbulent TimesOctober 11, 2018
“I ask everybody to not think in two-to-three-year time frames, but to think in five-to-seven-year time frames. When somebody … congratulates Amazon on a good
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One way or another …September 11, 2018
We were speaking at Latticework, an investment conference in London earlier this month, where one of the other speakers, one of Europe’s most prominent value
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Summer ReadingAugust 7, 2018
One of the books we have been reading this summer is Titan, Ron Chernow’s biography of John D. Rockefeller, an extraordinary perspective on one of
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You have to kill the chicken to scare the monkeyJuly 11, 2018
The global turmoil we have experienced for the first half of this year reminds us of this famous Chinese proverb. Like many proverbs it is
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The Return of Classic Coke: Are Big Brands A Decade Late to the PartyJune 20, 2018
A trip to the local Waitrose supermarket last week revealed something many of you will have noticed as well. Classic Coke is back for the
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Berkshire Hathaway’s $100 Billion QuestionMay 25, 2018
We recently returned from our annual trip to the Berkshire Hathaway annual meeting in Omaha, Nebraska, with the same renewed enthusiasm and conviction in investing
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It’s Still the Fundamentals, Stupid!April 25, 2018
One of our core convictions is that ‘it’s the fundamentals, stupid!’ We have written to you about this a number of times in the past
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As Much Digital Freedom as Possible, as Much Regulation as NecessaryMarch 25, 2018
Last month we said it was ‘welcome back to the good old days.’ The global economy and financial markets are entering a more typical phase:
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2018: It’s All About The FundamentalsJanuary 20, 2018
It is easier to be a critic than a creator, a consultant than an entrepreneur, or a commentator than an investor. The two headlines are
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Time in the Market is more Important than Market TimingNovember 17, 2017
The Dow Jones Industrial index goes back to 1885 but is not the most fashionable thesedays. Its oldest constituents are GE (added in 1907), Exxon
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Getting Back to BusinessSeptember 17, 2017
Getting Back to Business Posted on Sep 2017 Whatever happened to September being the month we all come back to from our various summer exploits
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Summer Reading: Alexander Hamilton by Ron ChernowAugust 15, 2017
August is a time to catch up on summer reading. This year one of the books we are reading is Ron Chernow’s authoritative biography of
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Investing in 2017…June 15, 2017
In this most politically turbulent of years we examine what political risk means to investing, Investing in 2017… Posted on Jun 2017 Political risk means
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Wise Investment Lessons from Omaha: Buffet and Munger on Alphabet and Amazon.May 15, 2017
Berkshire Hathaway’s annual shareholder meeting in Omaha provided a profound lesson in investment wisdom that has allowed Warren Buffett and Charlie Munger to generate unprecedented
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The Year of the RoosterMarch 15, 2017
It is the Chinese Year of the Rooster and there is quite a lot to crow about. The US and European economies have continued their
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Companies not MarketsFebruary 15, 2017
Companies not Markets Posted on Feb 2017 “The premiumization continues in the US market, the more you go up the ladder, the stronger the growth…
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It’s the fundamentals, stupid!January 15, 2017
Our conviction is to invest in quality and value, do our own work and invest for the long-term. 2016 was a profitable year for us
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Investment Opportunities in 2017December 16, 2016
In December’s commentary we look ahead to 2017 and its opportunities. Investment Opportunities in 2017 Posted on Dec 2016 2016 has been an eventful year
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Hope for the BestNovember 18, 2016
Hope for the best, prepare for the worst, and expect the unexpected—putting the US elections in perspective. Hope for the Best Posted on Nov 2016
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The show will go on : Donald Trump, uncertainty and opportunity for long-term investorsNovember 14, 2016
No one has ever made money betting against the United States. The election of Donald Trump, a businessman and reality TV star with no prior
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Deliberate Sense or Unqualified Complaisance?September 20, 2016
With the American election looming we look forward to the final months of the year and the number of paradoxes we are facing. Deliberate Sense
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Summer readingsAugust 16, 2016
We look back on the eventful results of the Brexit referendum and look to the summer ahead. Summer readings Posted on Aug 2016 What are
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Plus ça change…June 9, 2016
We look ahead to possible turbulent times on the horizon and examine how best to navigate them. Plus ça change… Posted on Jun 2016 The
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Great Companies at Good PricesMay 17, 2016
Chris Rossbach reflects on a recent trip to the Berkshire Hathaway annual meeting. Great Companies at Good Prices Posted on May 2016 Earlier this month
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March CommentApril 6, 2016
We look back on the first quarter of 2016 and ask ‘Where to now?’ March Comment Posted on Apr 2016 There is a great chart
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February CommentMarch 15, 2016
Chris Rossbach reflects on the difficult start to the year in the markets and an interesting lunch with Nestle. February Comment Posted on Mar 2016
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There’s no rose without a thornFebruary 14, 2016
In our first monthly commentary of 2016 Christopher Rossbach discusses the tumultuous start year in the markets, and how to keep it in perspective. There’s
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Challenges and Opportunities in 2016: Rocking the BearJanuary 14, 2016
2015 was a turbulent year and 2016 has started no less tumultuously. Our monthly comment provides a short review of last year and our views
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Love on DeliveryDecember 15, 2015
In our commentary on the last month, Love on Delivery, Christopher Rossbach is inspired by an Edwardian love story told through post cards and what
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Now is the Summer of our Discontent….. Made Glorious by Amazon.comNovember 18, 2015
In October’s investment commentary, we look at the recovery of the markets from the summer’s volatility and this month’s wave of mega-mergers. It is not
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SeptemberOctober 20, 2015
September continued to be a volatile month as concerns over China, the upcoming tightening of US monetary policy and the Volkswagen scandal dominated the headlines.
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Turning PointsSeptember 18, 2015
After a good July, global markets were thrown in to turmoil in August that has not abated. At the beginning of the year we commented
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Holding CourseAugust 17, 2015
After June’s correction, developed market equities posted positive returns in July as a bailout deal was reached for Greece and stronger economic data lifted investor’s
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Interesting TimesJuly 9, 2015
In this month’s investment commentary, we take stock of our views at the mid-point of the year, the companies we own in portfolios and discuss
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SyngentaJune 13, 2015
In our May investment commentary, we highlight the drivers behind the significant pick-up in merger and acquisition activity over the last eighteen months. As value
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Where Next for Markets?May 15, 2015
Over the last few weeks, we have seen a sharp reversal in trends across certain asset classes. Long term interest rates have risen by 0.5%
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A Good QuarterApril 21, 2015
Global equity markets ended March on a mixed note. European stocks continued to advance on the back of encouraging corporate earnings, capping off an extraordinary
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Back to the Good Old DaysMarch 19, 2015
February proved to be another very rewarding month for equity investors, with many of the world’s markets trading near all-time highs as stronger economic growth
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Off to the RacesFebruary 18, 2015
The start of the year was dominated by Central Bank Policy and Politics. Investors welcomed the decision by the European Central Bank to take the
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A Good Year, but More Fireworks to ComeJanuary 17, 2015
2014 proved to be another rewarding year for equity and bond investors although overall returns were heavily influenced by the base currency of the portfolio
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Happy Holidays from Riyadh, and a Prosperous New YearDecember 16, 2014
Whilst equity markets continued their recovery from last month’s lows, November was dominated by the collapse of oil prices following Opec’s decision not to cut
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If…November 17, 2014
In this month’s publication entitled “If…”, we discuss the turbulences of this month’s markets, but explain why we see reasons to be cheerful, albeit vigilant,
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Autumn BluesOctober 17, 2014
The last six weeks have been characterised by a significant pick-up in volatility, a correction in equities, declining commodity prices, a widening in credit spreads
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Steady as She GoesSeptember 17, 2014
A positive outcome for most risk assets last month disguised the volatility during the month. There are plenty of reasons to remain optimistic on the
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As good as it gets?August 17, 2014
Asset prices have done well in the first seven months of the year, though giving back some of those gains in late July… As good
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So Far So Good, But We Are Just Getting StartedJuly 19, 2014
The year in investments has shaped up well so far, validating our confidence in our long- term investments. With resilient and growing global economies but
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